Analytics & Data Science

• Past Event Highlights
• Article

What Brands Did in 2020

• INSIGHTS STUDIOS

In this presentation, Paul Donato, CRO of the ARF, covered findings from the seminal year of the “What Brands Did in 2020” (Brands 2020) project. This project will go on for at least the next two years or until the effects of 2020 are no longer felt. ARF researchers in the Brands 2020 study used IRI and NCS data, Kantar Ad Insights, NCS sales and Nielsen Ad Intel data, between 2017 and 2021. The IRI data was a very deep dive but across three categories: salty snacks, pasta sauce and personal care products. The NCS data was shallower but across 10 broad categories. Using all these data, ARF researchers looked at share of media, media spend and share of market before and after March 2020 (Covid) and before and after March of 2021 (start of inflation).

Several previous studies agree that decreasing advertising during a recession can hurt sales during and after the period of economic contraction, whereas increasing advertising can increase sales, market share and earnings. An IPA study from the UK during the 2008 recession found that those that “went dark” tended to lose excess share of voice, the impact of which could take five years to recover. This UK study also showed a linear relationship between both ROI and an uplift in revenue as a function of advertising during a recession. The Brands 2020 study found more nuanced findings.

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• Research & Data Quality
• Article

2022 Media Insights and 2023 Challenges

• L.A. Media Research Council | Author, Garrett Woods, VidMob

An ARF event presented by the LA Media Research Council focused on insights from 2022 research and on 2023 priorities to meet business challenges. Issues addressed in research presentations and by an expert panel included the evolution of streaming during an economic downturn, how to manage subscriber churn, understanding Gen Z and the continued need for better measurement across the ecosystem.

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• Past Event Highlights
• Article

Attribution & Analytics Accelerator 2022

The boldest and brightest minds joined us November 14 - 17 for Attribution & Analytics Accelerator 2022—the only event focused exclusively on attribution, marketing mix models, in-market testing and the science of marketing performance measurement. Experts led discussions to answer some of the industry’s most pressing questions and shared new innovations that can bring growth to your organization.

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• Targets & Segments
• Article

How Speed Preference During Travel Affects Mobile Marketing

• MSI

Today, it is more common than ever for consumers to access media and make decisions on the go. Marketers need to know how being in a state of mobility affects them in order to reach them with the right message at the right time. This study helps shed a little light on how such mobility itself may influence consumer thinking and behavior.

• Research & Data Quality
• Article

What Does AI Mean for Advertising Research?

• TOWN HALL

We’ve all heard about the growing use of artificial intelligence in advertising research and doom and gloom predictions that it will knock out jobs, but is this really the case? Agency leaders joined us for an ARF Town Hall to discuss the upsides and possible downsides of generative AI, as well as how they’re utilizing it in their businesses to boost efficiency. Attendees heard predictions on how AI will change the business model of advertising and what it could mean for media agencies.

• Audience & Media Measurement
• Article

Covid-19 Impact by Category: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

• MSI

Lockdowns and other widespread Covid-19 disruptions caused significant changes in buyer behaviors. For instance, it was a major catalyst in shifting buying behavior from in-store to online. With the pandemic receding, how can we know which trends may persist and for which categories, and which might drop off? Since all consumers were affected, no untreated experiment control group exists. However, one strategy could prove fruitful, age-period-cohort (APC) analyses. APCs offer an alternative way to analyze changes in consumer behavior before and after the pandemic.

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• Research & Data Quality
• Article

Implications of Changing Privacy Frameworks on Measurement & Marketing (Part II)

During Part 2 of our Insights Studio on Privacy experts from Neustar, Sallie Mae and the ARF examined what privacy changes mean for marketers. They discussed the importance of a mutually agreed upon value exchange between the consumer and the brand and the implications of the changing privacy frameworks for the targeting and measurement of advertising. Although there are challenges related to consumer privacy, regulatory issues and measurement, the panelists were optimistic about the potential for resolution.

View Part I here.

• Research & Data Quality
• Article

A Guide to Validating Marketing Performance Models

Over the last dozen years, marketers have seen numerous analytical models surface to help guide data driven decision-making. Yet, many remain unsure of how trustworthy such models are. That’s why the Attribution Working Group of the ARF Cross-Platform Measurement Council put together this guidebook to help arm all stakeholders with a basic understanding of marketing performance model validation issues. This paper includes a set of considerations and questions that encourage and facilitate dialog between end clients and model providers about the performance of marketing performance models.

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